1Stationary Dilations
Definition 1. Let (Ω,F,P) and (˜Ω,˜F,˜P)
be probability spaces. We say that (Ω,F,P) is a factor
of (˜Ω,˜F,˜P) if there exists a
measurable surjective map ϕ:˜Ω→Ω such
that:
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For all A∈F, ϕ−1(A)∈˜F
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For all A∈F, P(A)=˜P(ϕ−1(A))
In other words, (Ω,F,P) can be obtained from
(˜Ω,˜F,˜P) by projecting the
larger space onto the smaller one while preserving the probability measure
structure.
Remark 2. In the context of
stationary dilations, this means that the original nonstationary process
{Xt} can be recovered from the stationary dilation {Yt}
through a measurable projection that preserves the probabilistic structure
of the original process.
Definition 3. (Stationary
Dilation) Let (Ω,F,P) be a probability
space and let {Xt}t∈R+ be a nonstationary
stochastic process. A stationary dilation of {Xt} is a stationary
process {Yt}t∈R+ defined on a larger probability
space (˜Ω,˜F,˜P) such that:
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(Ω,F,P) is a factor of (˜Ω,˜F,˜P)
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There exists a measurable projection operator Π such that:
Theorem 4. (Representation
of Nonstationary Processes) For a continuous-time
nonstationary process {Xt}t∈R+, its stationary
dilation exists which has sample paths t↦Xt(ω) which are
continuous with probability one when Xt:
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is uniformly continuous in probability over compact intervals:
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has finite second moments:
\displaystyle \mathbb{E} [|X_t |^2] < \infty \quad
\forall t \in \mathbb{R}_+ |
|
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has an integral representation of the form:
\displaystyle X_t = \int_0^t \eta (s) ds |
|
where \eta (t) is a measurable random function that is stationary in
the wide sense (with \int_0^t \mathbb{E} [| \eta (s) |^2]
\hspace{0.17em} ds < \infty for all t)
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and has a covariance operator
\displaystyle R (t, s) =\mathbb{E} [X_t
X_s] |
|
which is symmetric (R (t, s) = R (s, t)), positive definite and
continuous
Under these conditions, there exists a representation:
\displaystyle X_t = M (t) \cdot S_t |
|
where:
This representation can be obtained through the stationary dilation by
choosing:
\displaystyle Y_t = \left( \begin{array}{c}
M (t)\\
S_t
\end{array} \right) |
|
with the projection operator \Pi defined as:
\displaystyle \Pi Y_t = M (t) \cdot S_t |
|
Proposition 5. (Properties
of Dilation) The stationary dilation satisfies:
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Preservation of moments:
\displaystyle \mathbb{E} [|X_t |^p] \leq
\mathbb{E} [|Y_t |^p] \quad \forall p \geq 1 |
|
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Minimal extension: Among all stationary processes that dilate X_t,
there exists a minimal one (unique up to isomorphism) in terms of the
probability space dimension
Corollary 6. For any nonstationary
process satisfying the above conditions, the stationary dilation provides a
canonical factorization into deterministic time-varying components and
stationary stochastic components.